Machine learning: Dispelling the myths
Mr Ong said, “Machine learning models are often thought of as a black box. However, the field of explainable AI is growing rapidly and techniques like shapely additive explanations help shed light on how these models operate. Combining these techniques with a range of scenario testing allows stakeholders to understand the impact of deploying such models. This transparency not only builds trust but also enables cost and benefit assessments to be refined and informed decisions to be made.”
Drawing on its extensive market and risk knowledge from its global business, Pacific Life Re’s experienced underwriting professionals, together with its strategic analytics team, provided FWD with an independent and balanced assessment of potential risks associated with deploying predictive models. By combining data science expertise with deep underwriting insights, it utilised a comprehensive range of real-world scenarios - including anti-selection risk and potential model deterioration - to analyse the outputs from the machine learning models and quantify the financial implications.
Mr Ong said, “While machine learning offers remarkable capabilities, it is not infallible. The crucial factor is a deep understanding of the inherent risks, the development of robust mitigation strategies, and the clear communication of these insights to stakeholders. This proactive approach empowers our clients to harness the full potential of machine learning while effectively managing its limitations, ultimately enhancing their decision-making and competitive edge.”
Ms Hermans said, “It’s important to engage the right expertise and advisers to have a comprehensive understanding of the risks of our predictive models from a reinsurance perspective.”
Moving ahead together
As much as new technologies promise a great deal, and that the first movers who leverage it and build products around it will be well positioned to gain market share, the organisational requirements that govern it still present a challenge for many.
“Infrastructure takes time to build and mature, but of equal importance is making sure the right talent and mindset is cultivated for success to be sustainable over time,” said Ms Hermans.
“That’s when strategic partnerships and industry collaboration become truly invaluable in successful deployment of machine learning models,” said Mr Ong.
“By tapping into our global expertise in machine learning, data analytics and underwriting, we want to support our partners regardless of which stage they are at in their digital transformation. Whether it’s offering technical guidance, sharing insights on best practices, or helping to navigate potential risks, we are committed to working collaboratively with them to achieve shared objectives,” he said.